Wednesday, March 31, 2010

2010 Major League Baseball Projections

BOS 95 67 0.586
FLA 92 70 0.568
TOR 95 67 0.586
ATL 92 70 0.568
NYY 94 68 0.580
PHI 81 81 0.500
TBR 83 79 0.512
NYM 78 84 0.481
BAL 72 90 0.444
WAS 74 88 0.457









MIN 82 80 0.506
STL 102 60 0.630
CLE 77 85 0.475
CHC 93 69 0.574
CWS 76 86 0.469
MIL 87 75 0.537
DET 75 87 0.463
CIN 78 84 0.481
KC 69 93 0.426
PIT 66 96 0.407





HOU 63 99 0.389









SEA 84 78 0.519
LAD 94 68 0.580
OAK 82 80 0.506
ARI 80 82 0.494
LAA 79 83 0.488
SFG 77 85 0.475
TEX 64 98 0.395
COL 75 87 0.463





SDP 71 91 0.438

Note: Marlins win play-in game over the Braves

ALDS: Red Sox over Twins, Mariners over Blue Jays
NLDS: Cardinals over Marlins, Dodgers over Cubs

ALCS: Red Sox over Mariners
NLCS: Cardinals over Dodgers

World Series: Cardinals over Red Sox

Sunday, March 7, 2010

2010 Texas Rangers

I do not understand the excitement about the Rangers this season. I understand they had a very good season last year and many hope for them to build upon that, but there are many glaring concerns within their team.

In their projected starting lineup they have players that do not fit any role on a good major league team.

Vladimir Guerrero is not the hitter he used to be. He is still capable of putting up decent numbers, but not enough to be a middle of the order hitter that he used to be. He is a below average outfielder and the Rangers plan on using him as a designated hitter for that reason.

Jarrod Saltalamacchia has not proven to be the star catcher that he was heralded to be in the Braves minor league system. Catchers are not known to be great offensive players and it would be unfair to just Saltalamacchia on offense alone, but his defense has been below average and if he can’t handle it behind the plate, he needs to learn to hit a bit more in order to be a useful major leaguer.

Elvis Andrus came up with fanfare and had a great start to the season, but tailed off a bit in the end. Shortstop is another position which is not known for great offensive production, although lately that has changed, and he hasn’t shown to have a solid role as a hitter. He also needs to improve his fielding a little bit if he wants to be an everyday major leaguer.

Josh Hamilton has been a terrific story and had a breakout 2008 season, but in 2009 he broke down and was often injured. So far it appears he continues to find himself injury prone and he cannot be relied upon to perform to his allstar caliber unless he proves he can stay on the field consistency.

The starting rotation has a few question marks. Last year, the Rangers had Kevin Millwood as their anchor in the rotation, and he’s no longer around. Colby Lewis is back from Japan and has apparently improved as a starting pitcher, but he has yet to prove anything positive in a regular season major league game. Derek Holland has had many bumps and bruises in the major leagues so far and cannot be relied upon to be a solid member of the Rangers starting rotation.

Chris Ray is the only true concern from the bullpen. It is hard to determine how someone will come back from Tommy John surgery. The first year back, Chris Ray was just trying to get himself into physical pitching shape so the second year is truly where he will be as a pitcher. The main concern now is can he have confidence in having full use of his arm? Sometimes the mental hurdle is more difficult than the physical recovery.

With so many questions and uncertainties, how can Texas be ready to take the next step. Though the American League West is very weak this year, the Texas Rangers can’t be expected to be in competition for a playoff spot this season.

Joe Nathan with pain in right elbow

Joe Nathan has the pedigree of being one of the better closers in the game, so hearing something like this might frighten the Twins fan. If Nathan is gone for an extended period of time, Pat Neshek or Jose Mijares could fill in very well as the closer for the Twins. If Ron Gardenhire feels it necessary, Neshek and Mijares can share the role coming from both sides, but one of those pitcher can handle the job themselves just as well until Nathan comes back. There’s no need for panic.

Russell Martin out with groin pull

Dodgers will not need to worry with the brief loss of Russell Martin. Coming into this season, he would best fit the eighth slot in the lineup. His bat isn’t over impressive, but he is a good fielding catcher. The Dodgers have Brad Ausmus and A.J. Ellis on their roster who can both fill in for Martin. Ausmus is a better fielder and can bat ninth if that’s the direction Joe Torre wants to go, but A.J. Ellis is an equal fielder to Martin and has more tools with his bat. He can hit for a better average and have a very good on base percentage.

I would expect this injury to delay Martin from starting opening day and I would recommend Ellis to start. Ellis has enough capabilities to start by hitting eighth, but if needed he could leadoff or bat third as he proves himself in the majors.

Monday, March 1, 2010

Projections: March 2010

NYY 101 61 0.623
ATL 92 70 0.568
BOS 95 67 0.586
PHI 88 74 0.543
TOR 84 78 0.519
FLA 83 79 0.512
TBR 84 78 0.519
NYM 83 79 0.512
BAL 72 90 0.444
WAS 75 87 0.463









MIN 86 76 0.531
STL 100 62 0.617
DET 84 78 0.519
CHC 84 78 0.519
CHW 77 85 0.475
CIN 79 83 0.488
CLE 71 91 0.438
MIL 79 83 0.488
KC 67 95 0.414
HOU 68 94 0.420





PIT 66 96 0.407









OAK 82 80 0.506
LAD 94 68 0.580
LAA 80 82 0.494
SFG 85 77 0.525
SEA 80 82 0.494
ARI 76 86 0.469
TEX 69 93 0.426
COL 74 88 0.457





SDP 72 90 0.444

Felipe Lopez: Signed one year contract with Cardinals

Felipe Lopez is a terrific offensive player and a good addition to the Cardinals. He is a better player than Skip Schumaker and should start for the Cardinals on opening day. Lopez can lead off or hit in the middle of the order. His versatility on the field or in the batting order gives Tony LaRussa endless possibilities.

The Cardinals should invest in an additional center fielder such as Darin Erstad, Ryan Freel or Joey Gathright.

Rod Barajas: Signed one year deal with Mets

Rod Barajas is a good defensive catcher and will be a nice pickup for the Mets. Ideally, Josh Thole should get the job and Barajas can be used as a backup catcher, but he can start if the Mets find the adequate offense in their lineup. Omir Santos, Rod Barajas, and Henry Blanco are similar catchers. Both Blanco and Santos can hit for a higher average than Barajas. Even Thole can handle himself well behind the plate and has the superior bat to any other option. The Mets should invest in a first baseman like Nomar Garciaparra, Rich Aurilia, or Greg Norton.

Jonny Gomes: Signed one year deal with Reds

Jonny Gomes was the last remaining hitter with true power in the free agent market. He is a fantastic pickup for a Reds team that needs more power in their lineup. He can play the outfield well enough to allow his power bat to start everyday. The Reds needed more power and now they have it.
 
flower power by time life
flower power by time life